It would be a historic achievement and great politics if President Trump gets North Korea to abandon its nuclear program, but Trump’s obsession with destroying President Obama's legacy—and the Iran nuclear deal in particular—might make that harder.
Trump has made no secret of his desire to terminate the Iran deal, and will decide by May 12 whether the U.S. will remain a party to it. Supporters of the deal have hoped to convince Trump that withdrawing from the Iran deal days before sitting down with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un would be self-sabotaging. They believe that Kim will be less likely to enter into an agreement with the United States if he sees us failing to honor previous commitments.
Unfortunately, Trump appears to believe the opposite, because he’s so smart. In a Rose Garden press conference Monday, Trump said he thinks the possibility that the U.S. will abrogate the Iran deal "sends the right message" to North Korea.
Also on Monday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu delivered a propaganda presentation, recycling old intelligence about Iran's nuclear program to give Trump political cover to pull out of the agreement. Trump welcomed it. "What's happening today," Trump said, "has really shown that I’ve been 100 percent right.”
Late Breaking: In an official statement Monday night, White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders said Netanyahu’s presentation confirms that “Iran has a robust, clandestine nuclear weapons program that it has tried and failed to hide from the world.” The statement was false. Nuclear arms inspectors have certified Iran’s compliance with the nuclear deal, and even Netanyahu acknowledged evidence in his presentation that Iran halted its nuclear weapons program years ago.
Amid fierce pushback, the White House attributed the confusion to a typo, and that the statement was supposed to read, “Iran had a robust, clandestine nuclear weapons program.” It is good that they withdrew the statement, but their explanation doesn’t withstand scrutiny. The original statement uses the word “has” twice, strongly suggesting an intent to mislead the global public into believing Iran had covertly reactivated its nuclear weapons program in direct defiance of the agreement.
It should frighten everyone that not one but two nuclear negotiations are captive to Trump’s ego.